International Crisis Group: Pakistan has suffered the most from the Taliban's return

Ahmad Shaker Sat Jan 2026 8 months ago 1002

This organization has warned that the escalation of insecurity and increased violence within Pakistan could once again drive Islamabad toward military action against Afghanistan.


The report states that relations between the Taliban and Pakistan have entered a tense and fragile phase following the failure of talks held in Doha and Istanbul.


According to the Crisis Group, the Taliban's refusal to curb the activities of Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) is one of the main factors contributing to the darkening of relations between the two sides.


Based on the findings of this Brussels-based think tank, Taliban officials have confirmed in unofficial talks the presence of TTP forces in border areas; however, they have claimed that neither country has the ability to fully control their shared borders. The Taliban have also stated that they have relocated some of the militants displaced in 2024 as a result of Pakistan's security operations away from the border strip, although they continue to refuse to hand over TTP leaders to Islamabad.


The International Crisis Group has placed the tension between the Taliban and Pakistan on the list of ten potential conflicts for 2026. The report emphasizes that, despite Pakistan's ongoing pressures, cross-border attacks by militants have not stopped, and at the same time, the ties between Afghan Taliban and Pakistani Taliban remain firmly intact.


The report warns that severe crackdowns on militants in Pakistan's Pashtun-inhabited areas could have unintended consequences and even pave the way for some fighters to join ISIS.


A section of the report refers to the military clash on October 9 between Taliban fighters and Pakistan's border forces; a clash that quickly escalated and led to Pakistani airstrikes in Kabul, Kandahar, and several border provinces. These strikes resulted in dozens of deaths and injuries. Islamabad claimed it had targeted TTP positions; but the Taliban announced that these strikes had targeted civilians and people's homes.

The International Crisis Group, in its latest assessment, has announced that Pakistan, contrary to expectations, has suffered the most damage from the Taliban's return to power in Afghanistan.

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